Monday, December 13, 2010

False Hopes or the Real thing?

Here we go again.. Yet another week with a storm looming in the distance of a possible snowstorm for someone on the eastern seaboard. 

This has gotten out of hand in my opinion ...but hey, it's weather.. and thats why I have a job.
I said this in late august..  This would be the year of major disapointment!  The models in general have a rough time developing storms and sniffing out patterns inside a La NINA year.  This years La NINA is very complex and with extremely strong arctic signals coupled with pacific LA Nina conditions the models as a whole are on overload mode.

The GFS 00z model run from last nigh most certainty has gotten my attention.  Like I said last week when this storm appeared to make a move towards the west of the east coast.. The pattern following it may support a BIGGER storm.  Well, the GFS has jumped on this idea in a big way. 
Not only is the GFS "game" so to speak.. But the European's last night run on height anomalies indicate much lower heights over the mid Atlantic and North East heading into the weekend.  What this says to me is that the majority of the Ensemble runs of the EURO will produce some sort of low within a 100 mile radius of the center of this purple blob.  That's not saying much but the threat of a storm is certainly much further east than say the Midwest or northern plains!





SO now we play the wait game...  Tom Petty said it best:  "The Waiting is the Hardest Part"

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